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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
RB Leipzig
T S S T U
3–2
Full-time
Hannover
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%
14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 12
3 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 14. · Hannover 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Hertha 2 2 0 0 +3 6
5 M'gladbach 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Augsburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Werder Bremen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Ein Frankfurt 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Hannover 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Nurnberg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 RB Leipzig 2 0 1 1 -3 1
15 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Freiburg 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Leverkusen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Stuttgart 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Hannover
1–0 Y. Poulsen
9′
13′
N. Füllkrug 1–1
25′
🟨 Niclas Füllkrug
2–1 T. Werner
E. Forsberg
40′
Diego Demme 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
Nordi Mukiele 🟨
55′
K. Laimer 🔁
↦ D. Demme
60′
3–1 T. Werner
E. Forsberg
63′
65′
🔁 G. Haraguchi
↦ T. Asano
65′
🔁 B. Wood
↦ L. Maina
65′
M. Albornoz 3–2
Walace
68′
🟨 Bobby Wood
Kevin Kampl 🟨
74′
74′
🟨 Oliver Sorg
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ E. Forsberg
74′
L. Klostermann 🔁
↦ T. Werner
87′
87′
🔁 M. Bakalorz
↦ O. Sorg
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
Full-time 3–2

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.