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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Ath Bilbao

S T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Real Madrid

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,5

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,2

This season — La Liga · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,5

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

2 Offside 6

19 Free kicks against 7

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Ath Madrid	4	1	2	1	-1	5
5	Betis	4	1	2	1	-2	5
6	Levante	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Sevilla	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Getafe	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Alaves	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Girona	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Huesca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Valencia	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
18	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Villarreal	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Celta	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Alaves	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Huesca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
3	Huesca	3	1	1	1	-5	4
4	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Vallecano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Valladolid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Ath Madrid	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Eibar	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Leganes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.