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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

NAC Breda

T S U T S

0–2

Full-time

Excelsior

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match NAC Breda 11. · Excelsior 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-7	3
15	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Excelsior	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.