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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande
Sociedad
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
5,0
Scored
1,3
3,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,3
4,7
Scored
1,7
4,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%
8 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 9. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 3 3 0 0 +10 9
2 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Celta 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Ath Madrid 4 1 2 1 -1 5
5 Levante 3 1 1 1 +2 4
6 Sevilla 3 1 1 1 +2 4
7 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Espanol 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Getafe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Eibar 4 1 1 2 -2 4
12 Alaves 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Girona 3 1 1 1 -2 4
14 Betis 3 1 1 1 -2 4
15 Huesca 4 1 1 2 -6 4
16 Vallecano 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Valladolid 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Valencia 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Villarreal 3 0 1 2 -2 1
20 Leganes 3 0 1 2 -4 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Barcelona
1–0 Aritz Elustondo
12′
Asier Illarramendi 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Philippe Coutinho
↦ Nélson Semedo
57′
🔁 Sergio Busquets
↦ Rafinha
63′
L. Suárez 1–1
S. Umtiti
66′
O. Dembélé 1–2
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
73′
77′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ O. Dembélé
Mikel Merino 🔁
↦ Illarramendi
82′
Luca Sangalli 🔁
↦ Rubén Pardo
82′
87′
🟨 Samuel Umtiti
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 G. Rulli G
6 H. Moreno D
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
15 Aritz Elustondo D
19 T. Hernández D
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
14 Rubén Pardo M
5 Igor Zubeldía M
7 Juanmi F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
Bench (7)
21 Jon Bautista
8 Mikel Merino
23 Luca Sangalli
13 Moyà
18 Andoni Gorosabel
20 Kévin Rodrigues
22 Raúl Navas

Coach: Asier Garitano

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
23 S. Umtiti D
2 Nélson Semedo D
4 I. Rakitić M
12 Rafinha M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
11 O. Dembélé F
Bench (7)
7 Philippe Coutinho
5 Sergio Busquets
22 A. Vidal
13 J. Cillessen
15 C. Lenglet
19 Munir
24 T. Vermaelen

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro Grande · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.