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Eredivisie

Referee: Martin Perez

Willem II

T S U T S

5–0

Full-time

Heracles

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,5

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

55% Possession 45%

13 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Willem II 8. · Heracles 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	De Graafschap	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-7	3
16	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Heerenveen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
10	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.