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Eredivisie

Referee: Jochem Kamphuis

PSV Eindhoven

U U S S S

6–1

Full-time

Willem II

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

100%

67%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

2,7

2,0

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Willem II 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Willem II	3	2	0	1	+5	6
5	Feyenoord	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	VVV Venlo	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Heerenveen	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Excelsior	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	De Graafschap	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Utrecht	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-3	4
12	FC Emmen	4	1	1	2	-7	4
13	Groningen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	NAC Breda	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Zwolle	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+5	4
2	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+4	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Heracles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	NAC Breda	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	VVV Venlo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Heerenveen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Zwolle	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Heerenveen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	VVV Venlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Feyenoord	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	FC Emmen	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	Vitesse	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	De Graafschap	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.