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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Feyenoord
S S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Excelsior
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
3,0
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
23 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 15. · Excelsior 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
11 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 For Sittard 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.