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Premier League
Referee: Michael Oliver
Tottenham
S S S S T
1–2
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,8
This season — Premier League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
75%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 10
3 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 16
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Liverpool 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Chelsea 4 4 0 0 +7 12
3 Watford 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Man City 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Tottenham 4 3 0 1 +5 9
6 Bournemouth 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Everton 4 1 3 0 +1 6
8 Leicester 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Arsenal 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Man United 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Wolves 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Southampton 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Fulham 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Brighton 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Cardiff 4 0 2 2 -3 2
17 Huddersfield 4 0 2 2 -8 2
18 Newcastle 4 0 1 3 -3 1
19 Burnley 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 West Ham 4 0 0 4 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.