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Serie A
Referee: Massimiliano Irrati
Frosinone
T T T U T
0–5
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Frosinone Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Frosinone 19. · Sampdoria 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Napoli 4 3 0 1 +0 9
3 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +5 6
5 Spal 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +3 4
7 Inter 4 1 1 2 +1 4
8 Empoli 3 1 1 1 +1 4
9 Roma 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Udinese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Torino 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Parma 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Sampdoria 2 1 0 1 +2 3
15 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Lazio 3 1 0 2 -2 3
18 Bologna 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Frosinone 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Chievo 3 0 1 2 -6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Frosinone Sampdoria
10′
F. Quagliarella 0–1
É. Barreto
Raffaele Maiello 🟨
17′
22′
🟨 Grégoire Defrel
Nicolò Brighenti 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–2
47′
G. Caprari 0–2
F. Quagliarella
54′
G. Defrel 0–3
J. Andersen
59′
🔁 G. Ramírez
↦ G. Caprari
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ R. Maiello
62′
Danilo Soddimo 🟨
63′
65′
🔁 D. Kownacki
↦ F. Quagliarella
J. Campbell 🔁
↦ C. Ciano
68′
71′
🔁 R. Vieira Nan
↦ A. Ekdal
D. Ciofani 🔁
↦ S. Perica
75′
83′
D. Kownacki 0–4
86′
G. Defrel 0–5
G. Ramírez
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Frosinone

5-3-2
57 M. Sportiello G
3 C. Molinaro D
27 B. Salamon D
23 N. Brighenti D
32 L. Krajnc D
17 F. Zampano M
10 D. Soddimo M
8 R. Maiello M
66 R. Chibsah M
28 C. Ciano F
11 S. Perica F
Bench (12)
20 E. Hallfreðsson
29 J. Campbell
9 D. Ciofani
2 P. Ghiglione
6 E. Goldaniga
15 L. Ariaudo
22 F. Bardi
24 F. Cassata
25 M. Capuano
33 A. Beghetto
88 L. Crisetig
89 A. Pinamonti

Coach: M. Longo

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
24 B. Bereszyński D
29 N. Murru D
3 J. Andersen D
15 O. Colley D
8 É. Barreto M
6 A. Ekdal M
16 K. Linetty M
27 F. Quagliarella F
17 G. Caprari F
92 G. Defrel F
Bench (12)
11 G. Ramírez
99 D. Kownacki
4 R. Vieira Nan
7 J. Sala
14 J. Jankto
18 M. Leverbe
22 Junior Tavares
25 A. Ferrari
26 L. Tonelli
33 Rafael
72 V. Belec
95 G. Rolando

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Massimiliano Irrati · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.