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Serie A

Referee: Gianluca Manganiello

Inter

T S T U S

0–1

Full-time

Parma

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%

28 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 1

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 7. · Parma 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Napoli	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
7	Inter	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Roma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Parma	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Frosinone	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Inter	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Frosinone	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
3	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
4	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-1	3
6	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-2	3
7	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
19	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.