Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sogndal
Aalesund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | +23 | 44 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 37 |
| 3 |
Start
|
17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 35 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | +10 | 30 |
| 5 |
Raufoss
|
17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | -3 | 28 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +8 | 27 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | +2 | 27 |
| 8 |
Nest-Sotra
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +3 | 23 |
| 9 |
Sandnes ULF
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Ull/Kisa
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | +5 | 21 |
| 11 |
Ham-Kam
|
17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 12 |
Jerv
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 |
Strommen
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 15 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -6 | 14 |
| 15 |
Notodden
|
17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | -33 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Dyngeland
U. Fredriksen
E. Schulze
Coach: E. Bakke
D. Grétarsson
S. Fet
N. Castro
Coach: L. Bohinen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Notodden
Sogndal
Sogndal
Ull/Kisa
Jerv
Sogndal
Sogndal
Start
Sogndal
Tromsdalen Uil
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.