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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
S T U S S
2–3
Full-time
Aalesund
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 65%
47%
82%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
71%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
59%
53%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
2,1
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 6. · Aalesund 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 17 14 2 1 +23 44
2 Sandefjord 17 11 4 2 +11 37
3 Start 17 11 2 4 +12 35
4 KFUM Oslo 17 9 3 5 +10 30
5 Raufoss 17 9 1 7 -3 28
6 Sogndal 17 8 3 6 +8 27
7 Kongsvinger 17 8 3 6 +2 27
8 Nest-Sotra 17 6 5 6 +3 23
9 Sandnes ULF 17 6 5 6 +2 23
10 Ull/Kisa 17 6 3 8 +5 21
11 Ham-Kam 17 5 4 8 -5 19
12 Jerv 17 4 7 6 -8 19
13 Strommen 17 3 6 8 -9 15
14 Skeid 17 3 5 9 -6 14
15 Notodden 17 4 1 12 -12 13
16 Tromsdalen Uil 17 1 2 14 -33 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Aalesund
1–0 T. Totland
8′
40′
🟨 N. Castro
S. Ernemann 🟨
40′
U. Flo 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Guèye
↦ D. Ólafsson
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ E. Lereng
48′
51′
D. Grétarsson 1–1
56′
🟨 S. Fet
67′
🟨 F. Carlsen
S. Mannsverk Heggheim 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 S. Sæthre
↦ D. Grétarsson
71′
A. Þrándarson 1–2
A. Adams 🔁
↦ S. Jensen
80′
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ S. Ernemann
80′
84′
H. Guèye 1–3
U. Fredriksen 🟨
87′
2–3 A. Adams
90′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
5 U. Fredriksen
2 T. Totland
30 I. Ogbu
35 E. Lereng
6 S. Ernemann
7 E. Schulze
24 S. Jensen
11 A. Hoven
23 S. Mannsverk
9 U. Flo
Bench (7)
15 J. Soltvedt
10 A. Adams
19 H. Stenevik
8 Tomas Kristoffersen
22 E. Helgesen
26 J. Fredriksen
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
10 H. Fridjonsson
17 S. Fet
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
14 H. Guèye
15 S. Sæthre
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
24 E. Mawete
25 K. Hay
27 W. Azofeifa

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.