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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Metz
T T T T U
3–0
Full-time
Monaco
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
18 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Metz 12. · Monaco 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Nantes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Marseille 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Nimes 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Metz Monaco
10′
🟨 Kamil Glik
1–0 H. Diallo
11′
Fabien Centonze 🟨
27′
34′
🟥 Ruben Aguilar
35′
🟨 Gelson Martins
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Diallo
53′
56′
🔁 K. Baldé
↦ Boschilia
3–0 R. Cohade
66′
70′
🔁 Gil Dias
↦ H. Onyekuru
I. Niane 🔁
↦ O. Nguette
74′
74′
🔁 L. Foster
↦ W. Ben Yedder
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ H. Maïga
77′
T. Ambrose 🔁
↦ F. Boulaya
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Metz

4-3-3
16 A. Oukidja G
21 J. Boye D
13 S. Sunzu D
17 T. Delaine D
18 F. Centonze D
24 R. Cohade M
5 V. Angban M
11 O. Nguette
27 F. Boulaya F
19 H. Maïga M
20 H. Diallo F
Bench (7)
7 I. Niane
6 M. Fofana
9 T. Ambrose
10 M. Gakpa
1 P. Delecroix
28 M. Cabit
22 S. Lahssaini

Coach: V. Hognon

Monaco

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
12 R. Aguilar D
5 Jemerson M
2 F. Ballo D
32 B. Badiashile D
26 Boschilia M
17 A. Golovin M
22 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
7 H. Onyekuru M
Bench (6)
14 K. Baldé
31 Gil Dias
35 L. Foster
16 D. Benaglio
21 Noss Traoré
37 J. Panzo

Coach: Leonardo Jardim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,10
B
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,40
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.