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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
T T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Sogndal
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 61%
66%
55%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
45%
Both score Ø 49%
52%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Sogndal 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 29 19 4 6 +29 61
2 Viking 30 20 1 9 +24 61
3 Mjondalen 30 17 9 4 +25 60
4 Sogndal 29 16 5 8 +18 53
5 Tromsdalen Uil 30 12 7 11 -4 43
6 Kongsvinger 30 12 6 12 +10 42
7 Ham-Kam 30 12 6 12 +2 42
8 Sandnes ULF 30 11 9 10 -4 42
9 Ull/Kisa 30 10 10 10 +8 40
10 Nest-Sotra 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Strommen 30 12 2 16 -4 38
12 Notodden 30 10 6 14 -4 36
13 Jerv 30 8 11 11 -10 35
14 Asane 30 9 6 15 -19 33
15 Floro 30 8 3 19 -32 27
16 Levanger 30 3 6 21 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sogndal
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Fridjonsson
48′
51′
U. Fredriksen 1–1
2–1 H. Guèye
55′
58′
🔁 L. Kjemhus
↦ B. Riise
64′
🔁 U. Flo
↦ S. Jensen
T. Agdestein 🔁
↦ H. Fridjonsson
73′
J. Grønner 🔁
↦ O. Lie
74′
77′
🔁 A. Adams
↦ T. Totland
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
91′
3–1 H. Guèye
94′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
22 A. Arnarson
3 D. Grétarsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
14 H. Guèye
Bench (7)
23 T. Agdestein
4 J. Grønner
15 S. Sæthre
21 J. Hauge
24 F. Opdahl
30 N. Tkalčić
41 M. Karlsbakk

Coach: L. Bohinen

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
2 A. Latifu
3 P. Steiring
31 U. Fredriksen
29 T. Totland
6 B. Riise
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
30 J. Soltvedt
24 S. Jensen
18 S. Haugen
Bench (7)
22 L. Kjemhus
9 U. Flo
28 A. Adams
4 K. Wæhler
5 N. Baranov
10 S. Mandić
21 K. Rutlin

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.