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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Man City

S S S S S

2–2

Full-time

Tottenham

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,0

Conceded

0,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

5,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+5,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

55% Possession 45%

30 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 2

12 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

13 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 4

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man City 6. · Tottenham 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Watford	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.