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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Sandnes ULF
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sandnes ULF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
33%
Points per game
2,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Sandnes ULF 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 12 9 2 1 +14 29
2 Sandefjord 12 8 3 1 +8 27
3 Raufoss 13 8 1 4 +0 25
4 Kongsvinger 13 7 3 3 +6 24
5 KFUM Oslo 12 7 2 3 +10 23
6 Start 11 6 1 4 +2 19
7 Ull/Kisa 12 5 2 5 +10 17
8 Sandnes ULF 12 4 5 3 +3 17
9 Sogndal 12 5 2 5 +1 17
10 Nest-Sotra 12 4 3 5 +3 15
11 Jerv 12 3 6 3 -3 15
12 Ham-Kam 13 3 4 6 -4 13
13 Skeid 12 2 4 6 -5 10
14 Strommen 12 1 5 6 -8 8
15 Notodden 12 2 1 9 -11 7
16 Tromsdalen Uil 12 0 2 10 -26 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sandnes ULF
8′
🟨 K. Eriksen
1–0 H. Fridjonsson
9′
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ H. Fridjonsson
21′
N. Castro 🟨
36′
39′
🔁 P. Heigre
↦ S. Sahlgren
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 V. Erlien
↦ S. Kapidzic
2–0 H. Guèye
64′
3–0 N. Castro
69′
F. Carlsen 🔁
↦ I. Uzochukwu
70′
75′
K. Eriksen 3–1
76′
🔁 Simón Colina
↦ A. Kryger
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ O. Lie
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
30 I. Uzochukwu
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
10 H. Fridjonsson
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
14 H. Guèye
8 F. Carlsen
15 S. Sæthre
4 J. Grønner
13 T. Omenås
19 J. Meade
23 T. Agdestein

Coach: L. Bohinen

Sandnes ULF

1 S. Sahlgren
16 T. Heikkilä
32 C. Kronberg
14 Akinshola Akinyemi
22 J. Bogdanović
4 A. Kryger
18 B. Holmvik
6 C. Landu Landu
10 S. Kapidzic
30 K. Eriksen
9 O. Ugwuadu
Bench (6)
23 P. Heigre
15 V. Erlien
7 Simón Colina
17 I. Halgunset
20 A. Berntsen
37 M. Vallotto

Coach: B. Sæternes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.