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Ligue 1
Referee: K Abed
Amiens
U U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Lille
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 10
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Amiens 16. · Lille 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Nantes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Marseille 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Nimes 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Lille
39′
🟥 Boubakary Soumaré
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Jonathan Ikoné
1–0 S. Guirassy
C. Akolo
70′
M. Talal 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
72′
77′
🔁 L. Rémy
↦ J. Ikoné
80′
🔁 Thiago Maia
↦ Y. Yazıcı
B. Zungu 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
82′
84′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ J. Bamba
Saman Ghoddos 🟨
87′
M. Konaté 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Amiens

4-2-3-1
1 R. Gurtner G
13 C. Jallet D
2 P. Gouano D
14 H. Aleesami D
12 B. Dibassy D
10 G. Kakuta M
6 T. Monconduit M
17 A. Blin M
19 C. Akolo M
7 S. Ghoddos M
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (7)
22 M. Talal
8 B. Zungu
15 M. Konaté
16 M. Dreyer
25 J. Lefort
20 C. Timite
39 J. Bumbu

Coach: L. Elsner

Lille

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
6 José Fonte D
17 M. Çelik D
2 Tiago Djaló D
29 D. Bradarić D
21 B. André M
10 J. Ikoné M
24 B. Soumaré M
12 Y. Yazıcı M
14 J. Bamba M
7 V. Osimhen F
Bench (7)
9 L. Rémy
20 Thiago Maia
22 T. Weah
28 Reinildo
1 Léo Jardim
33 C. Niasse
26 J. Pied

Coach: C. Galtier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,25
U
3,09
B
2,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Abed · 94 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.