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OBOS-ligaen
Sogndal
S T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Aalesund
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 58%
52%
64%
Points per game
1,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
48%
76%
Both score Ø 56%
52%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 4. · Aalesund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Viking 28 18 1 9 +20 55
2 Mjondalen 27 15 9 3 +23 54
3 Aalesund 25 16 4 5 +25 52
4 Sogndal 25 13 5 7 +13 44
5 Kongsvinger 28 12 5 11 +12 41
6 Tromsdalen Uil 28 11 7 10 -2 40
7 Sandnes ULF 28 10 9 9 -3 39
8 Ull/Kisa 27 9 10 8 +8 37
9 Ham-Kam 27 10 6 11 +0 36
10 Nest-Sotra 27 10 6 11 +0 36
11 Jerv 28 8 11 9 -6 35
12 Strommen 28 11 2 15 -8 35
13 Asane 28 9 6 13 -13 33
14 Notodden 27 7 6 14 -9 27
15 Floro 28 8 3 17 -29 27
16 Levanger 27 3 6 18 -31 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Aalesund
1–0 E. Birkelund
1′
Half-time 1–0
61′
🔁 D. Grétarsson
↦ Nenass
66′
🔁 H. Guèye
↦ T. Agdestein
S. Jensen 🔁
↦ S. Mandić
76′
78′
🔁 K. Ramsteijn
↦ S. Fet
J. Soltvedt 🔁
↦ B. Riise
85′
A. Adams 🔁
↦ U. Flo
92′
2–0 A. Adams
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
2 A. Latifu
15 P. Steiring
31 U. Fredriksen
29 T. Totland
6 B. Riise
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
10 S. Mandić
9 U. Flo
18 S. Haugen
Bench (7)
24 S. Jensen
30 J. Soltvedt
28 A. Adams
4 K. Wæhler
17 M. Fofana
21 K. Rutlin
26 J. Fredriksen

Coach: E. Bakke

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
30 N. Tkalčić
4 J. Grønner
15 S. Sæthre
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
17 S. Fet
Bench (7)
3 D. Grétarsson
14 H. Guèye
6 K. Ramsteijn
13 T. Omenås
16 J. Hatlehol
19 J. Meade
21 J. Hauge

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.