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Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia

S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Jagiellonia 8. · Gornik Zabrze 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Lech Poznan	5	2	2	1	+3	8
4	Wisla	5	2	1	2	+3	7
5	Cracovia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Jagiellonia	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Piast Gliwice	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Legia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	LKS Lodz	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Rakow	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Arka Gdynia	5	0	2	3	-7	2
16	Wisla Plock	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisla	3	2	0	1	+4	6
2	Pogon Szczecin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Gornik Zabrze	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Zaglebie	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Piast Gliwice	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Arka Gdynia	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	Wisla Plock	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Legia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	LKS Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	1
14	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Rakow	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Jagiellonia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
3	Lech Poznan	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Rakow	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	LKS Lodz	2	1	0	1	-3	3
12	Gornik Zabrze	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Wisla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Zaglebie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Arka Gdynia	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.