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Premier League

Referee: Mike Dean

Arsenal

T T U S S

2–1

Full-time

Burnley

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Burnley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

16 Shots 18

9 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 7

5 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arsenal 7. · Burnley 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
9	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
10	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.