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Premier League
Referee: Anthony Taylor
Brighton
T U U T S
1–1
Full-time
West Ham
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
3,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brighton 5. · West Ham 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Man City 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Man United 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Brighton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Bournemouth 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Crystal Palace 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Everton 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Leicester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Wolves 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Newcastle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Aston Villa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Norwich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Watford 1 0 0 1 -3 0
19 Chelsea 1 0 0 1 -4 0
20 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brighton West Ham
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Antonio
↦ J. Wilshere
61′
J. Hernández 0–1
M. Lanzini
1–1 L. Trossard
65′
N. Maupay 🔁
↦ P. Groß
67′
F. Andone 🔁
↦ G. Murray
74′
76′
🟨 Arthur Masuaku
77′
🔁 A. Yarmolenko
↦ Pablo Fornals
83′
🔁 C. Sánchez
↦ J. Hernández
A. Mooy 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
85′
90′
🟨 Declan Rice
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Brighton

3-4-3
1 M. Ryan G
4 S. Duffy D
33 D. Burn D
5 L. Dunk D
22 Martín Montoya M
6 D. Stephens M
13 P. Groß F
24 D. Pröpper M
20 S. March M
17 G. Murray F
11 L. Trossard F
Bench (7)
7 N. Maupay
10 F. Andone
18 A. Mooy
15 A. Webster
9 J. Locadia
27 D. Button
30 Bernardo

Coach: G. Potter

West Ham

4-1-4-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
21 A. Ogbonna D
26 A. Masuaku D
24 R. Fredericks D
23 I. Diop D
11 R. Snodgrass M
19 J. Wilshere M
10 M. Lanzini M
41 D. Rice M
18 Pablo Fornals M
9 J. Hernández F
Bench (7)
30 M. Antonio
7 A. Yarmolenko
15 C. Sánchez
4 F. Balbuena
27 A. Ajeti
13 Roberto Jiménez
5 P. Zabaleta

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,52
U ✓
3,33
B
2,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Anthony Taylor · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.