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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Moreirense

T T S T T

3–0

Full-time

Gil Vicente

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Moreirense Gil Vicente

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

40% Possession 60%

12 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Moreirense 16. · Gil Vicente 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tondela	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Porto	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Aves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Tondela	2	0	2	0	+0	2
3	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Porto	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Aves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.