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Championship
Referee: A Madley
Wigan
S U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Leeds
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wigan Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

23% Possession 77%
6 Shots 20
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wigan 16. · Leeds 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Charlton 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Fulham 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 West Brom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Millwall 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Derby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Preston 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Hull 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Brentford 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Wigan 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Luton 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Huddersfield 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Reading 2 0 0 2 -3 0
23 Stoke 2 0 0 2 -3 0
24 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wigan Leeds
Joe Williams 🟨
9′
Joe Williams 🟨
21′
Joe Williams 🟥
21′
24′
🟨 Adam Forshaw
34′
P. Bamford 0–1
45′
🟨 Ben White
Half-time 0–1
Lee Evans 🟨
56′
J. Lowe 🔁
↦ G. Massey
65′
B. Enobakhare 🔁
↦ M. Jacobs
65′
65′
P. Bamford 0–2
Danny Fox 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 Hélder Costa
↦ M. Klich
K. Naismith 🔁
↦ K. Moore
83′
Sam Morsy 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 J. Shackleton
↦ A. Forshaw
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Wigan

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
6 D. Fox D
22 C. Dunkley D
3 A. Robinson D
17 M. Jacobs M
5 Sam Morsy M
2 N. Byrne D
8 L. Evans M
20 J. Williams M
11 G. Massey M
19 K. Moore F
Bench (7)
9 J. Lowe
25 B. Enobakhare
33 K. Naismith
21 C. Kipre
24 C. Lang
4 L. MacLeod
23 J. Jones

Coach: P. Cook

Leeds

4-1-4-1
13 Kiko Casilla G
3 B. Douglas D
6 L. Cooper D
5 B. White D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
4 A. Forshaw M
15 S. Dallas D
23 K. Phillips M
22 J. Harrison M
9 P. Bamford F
Bench (7)
17 Hélder Costa
46 J. Shackleton
1 I. Meslier
10 E. Alioski
44 M. Bogusz
28 G. Berardi
14 E. Nketiah

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,29
U
3,56
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,91
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Madley · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.