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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
T S S S S
3–1
Full-time
Strommen
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Strommen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
81%
19%
Points per game
2,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Strommen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 16 13 2 1 +21 41
2 Sandefjord 17 11 4 2 +11 37
3 Start 17 11 2 4 +12 35
4 KFUM Oslo 17 9 3 5 +10 30
5 Raufoss 17 9 1 7 -3 28
6 Kongsvinger 17 8 3 6 +2 27
7 Sogndal 16 7 3 6 +6 24
8 Sandnes ULF 17 6 5 6 +2 23
9 Nest-Sotra 16 6 4 6 +3 22
10 Ull/Kisa 16 6 2 8 +5 20
11 Ham-Kam 16 5 4 7 -4 19
12 Jerv 16 3 7 6 -9 16
13 Strommen 16 3 6 7 -7 15
14 Skeid 16 3 5 8 -5 14
15 Notodden 16 4 1 11 -10 13
16 Tromsdalen Uil 16 0 2 14 -34 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Strommen
1–0 D. Grétarsson
9′
2–0 H. Fridjonsson
42′
Half-time 2–0
57′
🔁 S. Gussiås
↦ Ø. Vestvatn
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
58′
63′
K. Sellin 2–1
K. Ramsteijn 🟨
73′
N. Castro 🟨
77′
78′
🔁 L. Bransdal
↦ M. Al Laham
3–1 H. Guèye
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
3 D. Grétarsson
18 D. Ólafsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
10 H. Fridjonsson
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
14 H. Guèye
7 Nenass
13 T. Omenås
15 S. Sæthre
17 S. Fet
21 P. Larsen
25 K. Hay

Coach: L. Bohinen

Strommen

30 M. Berntzen
23 P. Andresen
20 M. Kaland
16 J. Norheim
5 S. Bjørkkjær
21 J. Grødtlien
8 M. Blårud
17 Ø. Vestvatn
6 A. Dieserud
7 M. Al Laham
19 K. Sellin
Bench (5)
9 S. Gussiås
25 L. Bransdal
10 M. Achrifi
11 U. Ness
31 S. Christensen

Coach: O. Nesselquist

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.