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Bundesliga
Referee: T Stieler
Leverkusen
S S S U S
3–2
Full-time
Paderborn

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

73% Possession 27%
13 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Paderborn
1–0 L. Bailey ⚽
K. Volland
10′
15′
⚽ S. Michel 1–1
2–1 K. Havertz ⚽
J. Baumgartlinger
19′
Wendell 🟨
25′
25′
⚽ S. Mamba 2–2
Half-time 2–2
A. Dragović 🔁
↦ L. Bender
46′
61′
🔁 Cauly
↦ S. Mamba
Aleksandar Dragović 🟨
62′
K. Bellarabi 🔁
↦ J. Baumgartlinger
62′
3–2 K. Volland ⚽
Wendell
69′
70′
🔁 G. Holtmann
↦ K. Pröger
84′
🔁 B. Zolinski
↦ M. Dräger
L. Alario 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
88′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender M
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
10 K. Demirbay F
29 K. Havertz F
31 K. Volland F
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (9)
6 A. Dragović
38 K. Bellarabi
13 L. Alario
11 N. Amiri
3 P. Retsos
19 M. Diaby
16 T. Jedvaj
28 R. Özcan
7 Paulinho

Coach: P. Bosz

Paderborn

4-4-2
21 J. Huth G
2 U. Hünemeier D
5 C. Strohdiek D
29 J. Collins D
22 C. Antwi-Adjej M
8 K. Gjasula M
11 S. Michel F
9 K. Pröger M
25 M. Dräger D
39 S. Vasiliadis M
30 S. Mamba F
Bench (9)
10 Cauly
38 G. Holtmann
31 B. Zolinski
20 L. Jans
14 K. Shelton
24 R. Kapič
7 M. Ritter
15 L. Kilian
1 M. Ratajczak

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
🔒
U
5,97
🔒
B
10,27
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,38
🔒
U2,5
3,03
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.