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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Celta
U U S T U
1–3
Full-time
Real Madrid
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 3
8 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Celta Real Madrid
Kevin Vazquez 🟨
7′
Rubén Blanco 🟨
12′
Denis Suárez 🟨
12′
12′
K. Benzema 0–1
G. Bale
36′
🟨 Vinícius Júnior
Half-time 0–1
Gabriel Fernández 🟨
49′
56′
🟥 Luka Modrić
61′
T. Kroos 0–2
Marcelo
64′
🟨 Álvaro Odriozola
69′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ Vinícius Júnior
David Costas 🟨
74′
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ S. Lobotka
75′
75′
🔁 Isco
↦ G. Bale
80′
Lucas Vázquez 0–3
K. Benzema
81′
🔁 L. Jović
↦ K. Benzema
Pape Diop 🔁
↦ Fran Beltrán
83′
Pape Cheikh 🟨
85′
Iker Losada 🔁
↦ G. Fernández
88′
1–3 Iker Losada
Pape Diop
91′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Celta

4-2-2-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
20 Kevin Vazquez D
3 David Costas D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Fran Beltran M
23 Brais Méndez M
6 Denis Suárez M
19 Gabriel Fernández F
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
25 Iván Villar
16 Jorge Sáenz
18 Joseph Aidoo
24 Pape Cheikh
28 Sergio Bermejo Lillo
11 Pione Sisto
36 Iker Losada

Coach: Fran Escribá

Real Madrid

4-3-3
13 Thibaut Courtois G
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
5 Raphaël Varane D
4 Sergio Ramos D
12 Marcelo D
10 Luka Modrić M
14 Casemiro M
8 Toni Kroos M
11 Gareth Bale F
9 Karim Benzema F
28 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (7)
1 Keylor Navas
6 Nacho Fernández
3 Éder Militão
17 Lucas Vázquez
22 Isco
16 James Rodríguez
18 Luka Jović

Coach: Z. Zidane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,67
U
4,12
B ✓
1,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,58
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.