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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Wolfsburg
U S S T S
2–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Wolfsburg FC Koln
1–0 M. Arnold
16′
26′
🟨 Marco Höger
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Dominick Drexler
56′
🔁 E. Skhiri
↦ M. Höger
2–0 W. Weghorst
X. Schlager
60′
62′
🔁 S. Terodde
↦ D. Drexler
70′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ F. Kainz
R. Steffen 🔁
↦ J. Roussillon
74′
Renato Steffen 🟨
75′
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ F. Klaus
82′
L. Nmecha 🔁
↦ W. Weghorst
88′
90′
🟨 Jorge Meré
91′
S. Terodde 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Wolfsburg

3-4-2-1
1 K. Casteels G
31 R. Knoche D
15 J. Roussillon M
25 J. Brooks D
2 William M
23 J. Guilavogui D
11 F. Klaus F
27 M. Arnold M
24 X. Schlager M
9 W. Weghorst F
40 João Victor F
Bench (9)
8 R. Steffen
7 J. Brekalo
22 L. Nmecha
12 P. Pervan
17 F. Uduokhai
10 Y. Mallı
37 E. Rexhbecaj
19 K. Mbabu
13 Y. Gerhardt

Coach: O. Glasner

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
22 Jorge Meré D
19 K. Ehizibue D
24 D. Drexler M
6 M. Höger M
30 F. Kainz M
14 J. Hector D
8 B. Verstraete M
11 K. Schindler M
27 A. Modeste F
Bench (9)
28 E. Skhiri
9 S. Terodde
39 D. Churlinov
3 L. Sobiech
18 T. Kessler
33 S. Bornauw
21 V. Koziello
7 M. Risse
35 M. Bader

Coach: A. Beierlorzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,74
B
3,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.