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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Luton
U T
1–2
Full-time
West Brom
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 12
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luton 17. · West Brom 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Charlton 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Fulham 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 West Brom 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 QPR 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Millwall 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Derby 2 1 1 0 +1 4
11 Preston 2 1 0 1 +2 3
12 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Hull 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Brentford 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Barnsley 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Wigan 2 1 0 1 -2 3
17 Luton 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Nott'm Forest 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Huddersfield 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Reading 2 0 0 2 -3 0
23 Stoke 2 0 0 2 -3 0
24 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luton West Brom
1–0 H. Cornick ⚽
M. Cranie
15′
21′
🟨 Kyle Bartley
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 G. Diangana
↦ K. Edwards
48′
⚽ G. Diangana 1–1
F. Krovinović
51′
⚽ G. Diangana 1–2
K. LuaLua 🔁
↦ H. Cornick
53′
I. Brown 🔁
↦ C. McManaman
53′
Daniel Potts 🟨
65′
74′
🔁 Matheus Pereira
↦ M. Phillips
A. Shinnie 🔁
↦ P. Ruddock
75′
79′
🔁 C. Austin
↦ K. Zohorè
Andrew Shinnie 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Luton

4-3-1-2
12 S. Sluga G
2 M. Cranie D
5 S. Bradley D
3 D. Potts D
6 M. Pearson D
29 J. Butterfield M
7 C. McManaman M
4 R. Tunnicliffe M
17 P. Ruddock M
19 J. Collins F
14 H. Cornick F
Bench (7)
25 K. LuaLua
24 I. Brown
11 A. Shinnie
10 E. Lee
26 J. Bree
36 J. Shea
20 G. Moncur

Coach: G. Jones

West Brom

4-2-3-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
10 M. Phillips M
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
7 F. Krovinović M
21 K. Edwards M
36 N. Ferguson D
9 K. Zohorè F
Bench (7)
29 G. Diangana
12 Matheus Pereira
15 C. Austin
27 D. O'Shea
14 C. Townsend
23 J. Bond
11 C. Brunt

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,60
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,80
🔒
U2,5
2,01
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.