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Ligue 1
Referee: F Letexier
Nimes
S S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Nice
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 5
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Nimes 20. · Nice 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lyon 2 2 0 0 +9 6
2 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Reims 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 St Etienne 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Angers 2 1 0 1 -4 3
9 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Toulouse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Strasbourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Metz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Nantes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Marseille 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Amiens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Montpellier 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Bordeaux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Monaco 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Nimes 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Nice
10′
W. Cyprien 0–1
11′
🟨 Racine Coly
16′
I. Ganago 0–2
W. Cyprien
Theo Valls 🟨
25′
35′
🟨 Christophe Herelle
43′
🟨 Wylan Cyprien
Half-time 1–2
1–2 R. Ripart
46′
51′
🟨 Racine Coly
51′
🟥 Racine Coly
53′
🔁 A. Pelmard
↦ I. Sacko
S. Sarr 🔁
↦ P. Valdivia
58′
V. Stojanovski 🔁
↦ H. Duljević
68′
Pablo Martinez 🟨
71′
72′
🟨 Adrien Tameze
76′
🔁 I. Cissé
↦ A. Lusamba
R. Philippoteaux 🔁
↦ T. Valls
78′
83′
🔁 K. Thuram-Ulien
↦ I. Ganago
Romain Philippoteaux 🟨
89′
Pablo Martinez 🟨
90′
Sofiane Alakouch 🟨
90′
Anthony Briancon 🟥
90′
Pablo Martinez 🟥
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Nimes

4-5-1
30 P. Bernardoni G
4 P. Martinez D
23 A. Briançon D
26 F. Miguel D
29 S. Alakouch D
8 P. Valdivia M
10 Z. Ferhat M
18 T. Valls M
14 A. Bobichon M
17 H. Duljević M
20 R. Ripart F
Bench (7)
6 S. Sarr
11 V. Stojanovski
7 R. Philippoteaux
15 G. Paquiez
16 L. Dias
5 L. Landre
27 K. Denkey

Coach: B. Blaquart

Nice

4-3-3
16 Y. Clementia G
4 Dante D
29 C. Hérelle D
12 R. Coly D
15 P. Burner D
5 A. Tameze M
25 W. Cyprien M
8 P. Lees Melou M
22 A. Lusamba F
18 I. Sacko F
14 I. Ganago F
Bench (7)
24 A. Pelmard
34 I. Cissé
19 K. Thuram-Ulien
35 Alexandre Conceicao
11 B. Srarfi
30 Y. Cardinale
33 E. Sylvestre

Coach: P. Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,16
U
3,33
B ✓
3,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.