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Eliteserien
Referee: Trond Ivar Dovle
Sogndal
T U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Aalesund
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
64%
43%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 10
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sogndal 12. · Aalesund 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 8 4 2 +13 28
2 Brann 14 7 5 2 +19 26
3 Sarpsborg 08 14 7 4 3 +10 25
4 Aalesund 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Molde 14 6 3 5 +5 21
6 Valerenga 14 6 3 5 +1 21
7 Odd 14 6 3 5 -4 21
8 Lillestrom 15 6 2 7 -1 20
9 Haugesund 14 5 4 5 -1 19
10 Sandefjord 14 5 3 6 -5 18
11 Stabaek 14 5 3 6 -7 18
12 Sogndal 14 4 4 6 -4 16
13 Kristiansund 14 4 4 6 -4 16
14 Stromsgodset 15 3 6 6 -7 15
15 Tromso 14 3 5 6 -9 14
16 Viking 14 2 3 9 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Aalesund
1–0 C. Nwakali
2′
Half-time 1–0
J. Hove 🔁
↦ T. Teniste
51′
Gilbert Koomson 🟨
55′
65′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ A. Þrándarson
66′
🔁 V. Hoff
↦ D. Grétarsson
77′
🟨 Adam Orn Arnarson
Chidiebere Nwakali 🟥
83′
E. Skaasheim 🔁
↦ G. Koomson
86′
86′
🔁 Marlinho
↦ A. Arnarson
E. Lund 🔁
↦ M. Ramsland
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sogndal

3-4-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
41 K. Wæhler D
2 T. Teniste D
15 P. Steiring D
31 U. Fredriksen D
27 E. Birkelund M
7 E. Schulze F
22 L. Kjemhus M
10 G. Koomson F
4 C. Nwakali M
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
28 J. Hove
24 E. Skaasheim
37 E. Lund
6 H. Furebotn
18 B. Bye
21 K. Rutlin
34 S. Brekkhus

Coach: E. Bakke

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
11 A. Þrándarson M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
Bench (7)
17 S. Fet
18 V. Hoff
15 Marlinho
32 S. Sødergren
33 A. Waagan
37 J. Barstad
38 J. Hatlehol

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Trond Ivar Dovle · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.