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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S U S S
3–1
Full-time
Sogndal
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 53%
80%
25%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
20%
75%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
0,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 1. · Sogndal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Aalesund 5 4 1 0 +5 13
2 Sandefjord 5 2 3 0 +3 9
3 Raufoss 5 3 0 2 +1 9
4 Skeid 5 2 2 1 +2 8
5 Kongsvinger 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Ull/Kisa 5 2 1 2 +7 7
7 Nest-Sotra 5 2 1 2 +2 7
8 KFUM Oslo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
9 Start 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Jerv 4 1 3 0 +2 6
11 Sandnes ULF 5 1 3 1 +1 6
12 Strommen 5 0 4 1 -1 4
13 Sogndal 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Ham-Kam 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Notodden 5 0 1 4 -7 1
16 Tromsdalen Uil 4 0 1 3 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Sogndal
I. Uzochukwu 🔁
↦ F. Carlsen
22′
J. Gronner 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
H. Fridjonsson 🟨
52′
52′
E. Schulze 0–1
S. Fet 🔁
↦ J. Meade
62′
64′
🟨 O. A. Sveen
70′
🟨 M. Dyngeland
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ T. Agdestein
72′
82′
🟨 M. Ramsland
1–1 A. Þrándarson
88′
90′
🟨 P. Steiring
N. Castro 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 J. Soltvedt
↦ O. Rindarøy
90′
🔁 S. Haugen
↦ M. Roseth
2–1 N. Castro
90′
3–1 H. Fridjonsson
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
4 J. Grønner
3 D. Grétarsson
19 J. Meade
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
11 A. Þrándarson
10 H. Fridjonsson
23 T. Agdestein
9 N. Castro
Bench (7)
30 I. Uzochukwu
17 S. Fet
14 H. Guèye
7 Nenass
13 T. Omenås
15 S. Sæthre
22 T. George

Coach: L. Bohinen

Sogndal

1 M. Dyngeland
14 O. Rindarøy
3 P. Steiring
16 M. Roseth
5 U. Fredriksen
2 T. Totland
8 E. Birkelund
7 E. Schulze
23 S. Mannsverk
19 O. Sveen
11 M. Ramsland
Bench (7)
15 J. Soltvedt
18 S. Haugen
6 S. Ernemann
22 E. Helgesen
24 S. Jensen
25 A. Ndour
37 H. Hetle

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.