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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Dortmund
S T U S S
5–1
Full-time
Augsburg
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
5,2
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

78% Possession 22%
23 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 0
8 Free kicks against 6
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -19 Augsburg – Dortmund 2–1 6. Oct -18 Dortmund – Augsburg 4–3 26. Feb -18 Dortmund – Augsburg 1–1 30. Sep -17 Augsburg – Dortmund 1–2 13. May -17 Augsburg – Dortmund 1–1

Match report

Dortmund Augsburg
1′
⚽ F. Niederlechner 0–1
M. Pedersen
1–1 Paco Alcácer ⚽
3′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Sancho ⚽
A. Witsel
51′
3–1 M. Reus ⚽
Paco Alcácer
57′
4–1 Paco Alcácer ⚽
J. Sancho
59′
60′
🔁 M. Richter
↦ A. Hahn
J. Brandt 🔁
↦ T. Hazard
68′
A. Hakimi 🔁
↦ Ł. Piszczek
68′
77′
🔁 R. Oxford
↦ M. Gregoritsch
M. Götze 🔁
↦ M. Reus
78′
5–1 J. Brandt ⚽
A. Witsel
82′
83′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ R. Vargas
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
15 M. Hummels D
26 Ł. Piszczek D
16 M. Akanji D
28 A. Witsel M
14 N. Schulz D
33 J. Weigl M
7 J. Sancho M
11 M. Reus M
23 T. Hazard M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (9)
19 J. Brandt
5 A. Hakimi
10 M. Götze
40 E. Oelschlägel
2 D. Zagadou
6 T. Delaney
34 J. Bruun Larsen
29 M. Schmelzer
8 M. Dahoud

Coach: L. Favre

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
21 T. Koubek G
5 M. Suchý D
3 M. Pedersen D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn M
34 G. Teigl D
11 M. Gregoritsch M
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira D
7 F. Niederlechner F
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (8)
23 M. Richter
36 R. Oxford
24 F. Jensen
37 M. Malone
15 J. Stanic
40 T. Rieder
1 A. Luthe
43 S. Russo

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
🔒
U
6,62
🔒
B
13,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,43
🔒
U2,5
2,79
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.