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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
Freiburg
T T U T S
3–0
Full-time
Mainz
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
19 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Apr -19 Mainz – Freiburg 5–0 10. Nov -18 Freiburg – Mainz 1–3 16. Apr -18 Mainz – Freiburg 2–0 25. Nov -17 Freiburg – Mainz 2–1 8. Apr -17 Freiburg – Mainz 1–0

Match report

Freiburg Mainz
11′
🟨 Jeremiah St. Juste
29′
🟨 Danny Latza
34′
🟨 Edimilson Fernandes
Half-time 0–0
M. Frantz 🔁
↦ J. Gondorf
60′
Philipp Lienhart 🟨
62′
L. Höler 🔁
↦ B. Borello
65′
71′
🔁 L. Öztunali
↦ R. Baku
80′
🔁 A. Hack
↦ J. St. Juste
1–0 L. Höler ⚽
N. Petersen
81′
2–0 J. Schmid ⚽
L. Höler
83′
85′
🔁 T. Awoniyi
↦ E. Fernandes
3–0 L. Waldschmidt ⚽
87′
A. Abrashi 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schwolow G
30 C. Günter D
3 P. Lienhart D
25 R. Koch M
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
27 N. Höfler M
7 J. Schmid D
20 J. Gondorf M
18 N. Petersen F
11 L. Waldschmidt F
21 B. Borello M
Bench (8)
8 M. Frantz
9 L. Höler
6 A. Abrashi
40 N. Thiede
22 R. Sallai
28 Kwon Chang-Hoon
23 D. Heintz
32 L. Tempelmann

Coach: C. Streich

Mainz

4-3-1-2
1 F. Müller G
18 D. Brosinski D
3 Aarón Martín D
19 M. Niakhate D
4 J. St. Juste D
6 D. Latza M
20 E. Fernandes M
34 R. Baku M
21 K. Onisiwo F
5 J. Boëtius M
7 R. Quaison F
Bench (9)
8 L. Öztunali
42 A. Hack
22 T. Awoniyi
29 J. Burkardt
35 L. Barreiro
2 R. Pierre-Gabriel
10 A. Maxim
27 R. Zentner
14 P. Malong

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B
3,36
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,93
🔒
U2,5
1,88
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.