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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Genk

U S S U S

4–0

Full-time

Gent

U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Gent

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 58%

75%

40%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

70%

45%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,6

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,40 xG 0,68

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 8

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 1. · Gent 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	20	15	3	2	+18	+18.4	48
2	Club Brugge	21	14	5	2	+28	+25.1	47
3	St. Gilloise	21	12	6	3	+22	+22.0	42
4	Anderlecht	21	12	5	4	+23	+7.0	41
5	Antwerp	20	10	8	2	+17	-0.1	38
6	Gent	20	8	8	4	+14	+0.7	32
7	Standard	21	7	6	8	-12	-7.3	27
8	Cercle Brugge	25	6	9	10	-16	-3.9	27
9	Charleroi	20	6	7	7	-1	+2.6	25
10	Dender	20	6	7	7	-5	-9.1	25
11	Westerlo	20	6	4	10	-2	-0.4	22
12	St Truiden	25	5	7	13	-21	-9.4	22
13	Mechelen	21	5	6	10	-5	-2.6	21
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	21	3	10	8	-7	-4.7	19
15	Kortrijk	25	5	3	17	-27	-15.4	18
16	Beerschot VA	25	2	8	15	-26	-22.9	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	St. Gilloise	11	9	0	2	+17	+18.5	27
3	Club Brugge	11	8	2	1	+20	+18.1	26
4	Anderlecht	10	6	3	1	+14	+4.2	21
5	Antwerp	9	6	2	1	+16	+5.3	20
6	Gent	10	6	2	2	+14	+3.7	20
7	Standard	11	5	3	3	+1	-1.6	18
8	Cercle Brugge	12	4	5	3	-3	+2.0	17
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	7	1	+4	+2.9	16
10	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+3	+4.0	15
11	St Truiden	12	3	6	3	-2	-1.0	15
12	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	+6	+10.2	14
13	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	+4	+1.1	13
14	Kortrijk	13	4	1	8	-7	-3.3	13
15	Beerschot VA	13	2	6	5	-6	-10.5	12
16	Dender	10	2	4	4	-1	-2.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+8	+7.0	21
2	Anderlecht	11	6	2	3	+9	+2.8	20
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+3	+5.1	20
4	Antwerp	11	4	6	1	+1	-5.4	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
6	Dender	10	4	3	3	-4	-6.2	15
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Charleroi	10	2	4	4	-4	-1.4	10
9	Cercle Brugge	13	2	4	7	-13	-5.9	10
10	Standard	10	2	3	5	-13	-5.7	9
11	Westerlo	10	2	2	6	-8	-10.6	8
12	Mechelen	11	2	2	7	-9	-3.7	8
13	St Truiden	13	2	1	10	-19	-8.4	7
14	Kortrijk	12	1	2	9	-20	-12.1	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-11	-7.6	3
16	Beerschot VA	12	0	2	10	-20	-12.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.