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Pro League
Referee: Michiel Allaerts
Gent
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 5 5 0 0 +8 +4.5 15
2 St. Gilloise 4 3 1 0 +10 +1.2 10
3 Club Brugge 4 3 0 1 +6 +4.7 9
4 Gent 3 3 0 0 +4 +2.2 9
5 Waregem 4 2 2 0 +5 +1.9 8
6 Standard 4 2 2 0 +3 -0.4 8
7 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 +5.3 7
8 Lommel SK 4 2 1 1 +4 7
9 Lommel United 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
10 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +1 -0.4 7
11 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 +0 +1.0 6
12 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 -3 +2.7 3
13 Beveren 4 1 0 3 -8 -6.2 3
14 Cercle Brugge 5 0 2 3 -3 -0.2 2
15 Mechelen 4 0 2 2 -4 -1.0 2
16 RAAL La Louviere 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.0 1
17 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -13 -4.9 1
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.5 0
19 Kortrijk 3 0 0 3 -8 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Tiago Araújo
46′
57′
🔁 Abdoul Karim Traoré
↦ Davis Opoku
58′
🟨 Wouter George
Tibe De Vlieger 🔁
↦ Mathias Delorge
64′
Michel Ange Balikwisha 🔁
↦ László Bénes
64′
Matties Volckaert 🔁
↦ Kyrell Wilson
64′
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 Kyan Vaesen
↦ Lukasz Lakomy
67′
🔁 Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
↦ Shin Yamada
El Hadji Seck 🔁
↦ Momodou Sonko
74′
76′
🟨 Oscar Gil Regaño
76′
🔁 Takuya Ogiwara
↦ Wouter George
77′
🔁 Bryang Kayo
↦ Noë Dussenne
Aime Ntsama Omgba 🔁
↦ Josue Vergara
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
14 Kyrell Wilson M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
22 Leonardo Lopes M
20 Tiago Araújo M
8 L. Bénes M
11 M. Sonko M
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega F
Bench (9)
57 M. Volckaert
27 T. De Vlieger
39 A. Ayindé
37 A. Kadri
7 M. Balikwisha
10 A. Omgba
3 M. Paskotši
30 K. Peersman
59 E. Seck

Coach: R. Demil

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
16 D. van den Heuvel G
5 J. Lawrence D
3 N. Dussenne D
28 E. Pletinckx D
27 Óscar Gil M
6 W. George M
4 B. Verstraete M
99 D. Opoku M
21 W. Balikwisha F
20 S. Yamada F
24 Ł. Łakomy F
Bench (9)
80 Matteo Heremans
19 C. Ikwuemesi
61 O. Jochmans
48 B. Kayo
72 S. Murru
26 T. Ogiwara
9 A. Traoré
17 K. Vaesen
34 R. Nyakossi

Coach: T. Simons

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
3,89
B
4,96
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,25
U1,5 ✓
3,60
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,03
O3,5
3,12
U3,5 ✓
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,80
BLS nei ✓
1,95

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.