Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Den Haag
Twente
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | +45 | 77 |
| 2 |
Ajax
|
30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | +52 | 70 |
| 3 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +30 | 65 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | +28 | 54 |
| 5 |
Zwolle
|
30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 43 |
| 6 |
Utrecht
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +0 | 41 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -3 | 39 |
| 8 |
Vitesse
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +8 | 38 |
| 9 |
Excelsior
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -10 | 38 |
| 10 |
Den Haag
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 37 |
| 11 |
Heracles
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -17 | 37 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 |
Groningen
|
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 |
Willem II
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 |
NAC Breda
|
30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -17 | 30 |
| 16 |
Roda
|
30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -28 | 26 |
| 17 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -30 | 24 |
| 18 |
Twente
|
30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -22 | 20 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: A. Groenendijk
J. Drommel
G
F. Jensen
M
Coach: M. Pusic
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Utrecht
Den Haag
Den Haag
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior
Den Haag
Den Haag
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Den Haag
Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.