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Conference League
Referee: R Saggi
Qarabag
U U T S S
1–4
Full-time
Twente
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
0,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,3
4,3
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 29
1 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 11
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 16
6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Aug -26 Twente – Qarabag 0–1

Match report

Qarabag Twente
22′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
Bruno Langa 🟨
23′
Half-time 0–0
Samuel Lobato 🟨
58′
1–0 Kady Borges ⚽
M. Qurbanly
59′
C. Makreckis 🔁
↦ M. Qurbanly
70′
Pedro Bicalho 🔁
↦ S. Lobato
70′
70′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ S. Orjasaeter
70′
🔁 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
↦ R. Propper
Dani Bolt 🔁
↦ B. Langa
76′
79′
⚽ M. Pjaca 1–1
W. Weghorst
J. Montiel 🔁
↦ Kady Borges
86′
Marko Janković 🟨
90′
90′
⚽ M. Bruns 1–2
M. Pjaca
91′
🔁 T. van den Belt
↦ D. Rots
Jaly Mouaddib 🟨
92′
Bence Várkonyi 🟨
94′
94′
⚽ W. Weghorst 1–3
D. Weidmann
95′
🔁 A. Adelgaard
↦ R. Nijstad
97′
🔁 M. Kjolo
↦ D. Weidmann
Marko Janković 🟨
106′
Marko Janković 🟥
106′
106′
🟨 Wout Weghorst
109′
🔁 F. Thorvaldsen
↦ W. Weghorst
B. Mustafazada 🔁
↦ B. Huseynov
114′
H. Cabrayilzada 🔁
↦ J. Mouaddib
114′
114′
⚽ Y. Taha 1–4
116′
🟨 Younes Taha
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
23 M. Zlomislic G
2 Matheus Silva D
55 B. Huseynov D
4 B. Varkonyi
5 B. Langa D
88 S. Lobato M
8 M. Jankovic M
21 O. Kashchuk M
20 Kady Borges M
7 J. Mouaddib M
22 M. Qurbanly F
Bench (9)
99 M. Kochalski
1 S. Mahammadaliyev
13 B. Mustafazada
18 Dani Bolt
25 C. Makreckis
35 Pedro Bicalho
9 J. Montiel
32 H. Cabrayilzada
49 A. Bashirov

Coach: Qurban Qurbanov

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
28 B. van Rooij D
38 M. Bruns D
3 R. Propper D
43 R. Nijstad D
42 D. Weidmann M
6 R. Zerrouki M
19 Y. Taha M
11 D. Rots M
27 S. Orjasaeter M
9 W. Weghorst F
Bench (12)
22 R. Pasveer
16 J. Drommel
29 A. Adelgaard
12 G. Peixoto
24 K. Kurowski
39 J. Meilink
26 B. Nagel
4 M. Kjolo
20 T. van den Belt
7 M. Pjaca
17 F. Thorvaldsen
25 L. Vennegoor of Hesselink

Coach: John van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Saggi · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.