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Ligue 1
Referee: Jérôme Brisard
Paris FC
T S U S S
0–0
Full-time
Lyon
U S T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris FC 4. · Lyon 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Monaco 4 3 1 0 +4 +1.1 10
2 Rennes 4 3 1 0 +3 -1.2 10
3 Lyon 3 2 1 0 +4 -1.0 7
4 Paris FC 3 2 1 0 +4 +3.0 7
5 Lille 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.9 7
6 Strasbourg 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.8 7
7 Brest 3 1 2 0 +1 +3.9 5
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.7 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 -3 -0.4 4
10 Lens 3 1 0 2 +1 +3.7 3
11 Marseille 4 1 0 3 +0 +1.4 3
12 Angers 3 1 0 2 -1 +0.5 3
13 Paris SG 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.5 2
14 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 -1 -2.1 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 -3 -1.8 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 -2 -1.8 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.2 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 -7 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris FC Lyon
Half-time 0–0
63′
🟨 Loïs Openda
Diego Coppola 🟨
69′
75′
🔁 Keito Nakamura
↦ Loïs Openda
Hamari Traoré 🟨
77′
Rudy Matondo 🔁
↦ Luca Koleosho
79′
Moses Simon 🔁
↦ Pablo Pagis
79′
Jonathan Ikoné 🔁
↦ Ilan Kebbal
87′
87′
🔁 Kaïl Boudache
↦ Ernest Nuamah
87′
🔁 Tanner Tessmann
↦ Mads Bidstrup
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-2-3-1
1 Kevin Trapp G
17 Adama Camara D
31 Samir Chergui D
42 Diego Coppola D
14 Hamari Traoré D
20 Maxime López M
33 Pierre Lees Melou M
10 Ilan Kebbal M
7 Pablo Pagis M
15 Luca Koleosho M
9 Lassine Sinayoko F
Bench (9)
23 Rudy Matondo
27 Moses Simon
93 Jonathan Ikoné
16 Obed Nkambadio
5 Moustapha Mbow
25 Yoan Koré
4 Vincent Marchetti
8 Patrick Zabi
18 Omar Sissoko

Coach: L. Rosenior

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Dominik Greif G
13 Zachary Athekame D
20 Felix Bacher D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
16 Abner Vinícius D
2 Mads Bidstrup M
23 Tyler Morton M
7 Ernest Nuamah M
10 Pavel Šulc M
8 Corentin Tolisso M
17 Loïs Openda F
Bench (9)
11 Keito Nakamura
6 Tanner Tessmann
26 Kaïl Boudache
40 Rémy Descamps
21 Ruben Kluivert
22 Clinton Mata
3 Nicolás Tagliafico
99 Noah Nartey
18 Khalis Merah

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U ✓
3,58
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,17
U1,5 ✓
5,00
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,18
O3,5
2,38
U3,5 ✓
1,55
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,50
BLS nei ✓
2,50

Referee

Jérôme Brisard · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.