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Ligue 1

Referee: Ruddy Buquet

Lyon

S U S T U

3–1

Full-time

Auxerre

S S S T T

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,5

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

4,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

63% Possession 37%

21 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 4. · Auxerre 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.9	7
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
3	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+3.0	4
4	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-1.0	4
5	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
6	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+3.7	3
8	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.4	3
9	Angers	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.5	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.8	3
11	Brest	2	0	2	0	+0	+3.9	2
12	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
13	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.8	1
15	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
16	Toulouse	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.2	1
17	Nice	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.8	1
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.2	4
2	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.7	3
3	Lens	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.6	3
4	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.6	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
7	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
8	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
9	Le Mans	1	0	1	0	+0	-2.1	1
10	Lyon	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.1	1
11	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
12	Troyes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.4	1
13	Lorient	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
14	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.3	0
16	Angers	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
17	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
2	Angers	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.3	3
3	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+2	-2.1	3
4	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.0	3
5	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Paris SG	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.5	2
7	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
8	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	+2.1	1
9	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
10	Lorient	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
11	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
12	Le Mans	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
13	Lens	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
14	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
15	Auxerre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.6	0
16	Nice	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
17	Strasbourg	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Apr -26 Lyon – Auxerre 3–2 23. Nov -25 Auxerre – Lyon 0–0 13. Apr -25 Auxerre – Lyon 1–3 27. Oct -24 Lyon – Auxerre 2–2 17. Feb -23 Auxerre – Lyon 2–1

Match report

Lyon Auxerre

Loïs Openda ℹ️

VAR: Goal cancelled

18′

22′

ℹ️ Cameron Archer

VAR: Goal cancelled

26′

🟨 Arthur Piedfort

1–0 Felix Bacher ⚽

Ernest Nuamah

28′

2–0 Zachary Athekame ⚽

Loïs Openda

31′

42′

⚽ Cameron Archer 2–1

Half-time 3–1

3–1 Ernest Nuamah ⚽

Pavel Šulc

53′

Felix Bacher 🟨

62′

66′

🔁 Rayan Mandengue

↦ Elikya Legros

66′

🔁 Pierre Ekwah

↦ Naouirou Ahamada

66′

🔁 Aristide Zossou

↦ Remy Labeau Lascary

Kail Boudache 🔁

↦ Ernest Nuamah

67′

Khalis Merah 🔁

↦ Pavel Šulc

67′

68′

🟨 Rayan Mandengue

Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Lyon

4-2-3-1

D. Greif G

Z. Athekame D

F. Bacher D

M. Niakhaté D

Abner D

M. Bidstrup M

T. Morton M

E. Nuamah M

C. Tolisso M

P. Šulc M

L. Openda F

Bench (9)

3 N. Tagliafico

6 T. Tessmann

26 K. Boudache

40 R. Descamps

45 R. Himbert

21 R. Kluivert

22 Clinton Mata

18 K. Merah

99 N. Nartey

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Auxerre

4-3-3

M. Diop G

L. Sy D

E. Legros D

C. Makosso D

C. Akpa D

N. Ahamada M

A. Piedfort M

K. Danois M

D. Namaso F

C. Archer F

R. Labeau Lascary F

Bench (9)

36 T. Devernois

20 S. Diomandé

34 L. Dioubate

17 P. Ekwah

21 R. Faivre

32 R. Mandengue

1 P. Nardi

77 Aristide Zossou

7 J. Casimir

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,42

🔒

Superbet 1,54 Betano 1,50 10Bet 1,49 SBO 1,46 1xBet 1,46 Marathonbet 1,44 Dafabet 1,43 Pinnacle 1,43 Bet365 1,42 Unibet 1,42 Betfair 1,40 BetVictor 1,40 William Hill 1,40

4,63

🔒

1xBet 5,03 Dafabet 5,00 Pinnacle 4,96 Marathonbet 4,95 BetVictor 4,80 Bet365 4,75 Betano 4,75 Betfair 4,75 Unibet 4,50 Superbet 4,50 William Hill 4,50 10Bet 4,35 SBO 3,94

7,12

🔒

1xBet 7,50 BetVictor 7,50 Pinnacle 7,48 Marathonbet 7,30 Bet365 7,00 Betano 7,00 Betfair 7,00 Dafabet 6,80 Unibet 6,75 William Hill 6,50 10Bet 5,80 Superbet 5,75 SBO 5,22

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,17

🔒