Ligue 1
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Le Havre
Angers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +1.1 | 10 |
| 2 |
Rennes
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -1.2 | 10 |
| 3 |
Lyon
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | -1.0 | 7 |
| 4 |
Paris FC
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | +3.0 | 7 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | -0.9 | 7 |
| 6 |
Strasbourg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | -2.8 | 7 |
| 7 |
Brest
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | +3.9 | 5 |
| 8 |
Lorient
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | -0.7 | 4 |
| 9 |
Troyes
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -0.4 | 4 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | +3.7 | 3 |
| 11 |
Marseille
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0 | +1.4 | 3 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 13 |
Paris SG
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | +1.5 | 2 |
| 14 |
Le Mans
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -2.1 | 2 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | -1.8 | 2 |
| 16 |
Le Havre
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -1.8 | 1 |
| 17 |
Toulouse
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | +0.2 | 1 |
| 18 |
Auxerre
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7 | -2.3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Gauthier Gallon
G
Elias Jelert
D
Ayumu Seko
D
Ahmed Touba
D
Djibril Ouziad
D
Kaito Mizuta
M
Simon Ebonog
M
Amir Richardson
M
Sota Nakamura
F
Josh Maja
F
Ally Samatta
F
Coach: D. Digard
Anthony Lopes
G
Carlens Arcus
D
Ousmane Camara
D
Jordan Lefort
D
Joseph Kalulu
D
Yassin Belkhdim
M
Branco Van den Boomen
M
Jim Allevinah
M
Bané Diatta
M
Amine Sbai
M
Amine El Ouazzani
F
Coach: S. Gilli
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Le Havre
Brest
Lyon
Le Havre
Le Havre
Monaco
Lorient
Le Havre
Le Havre
Marseille
Ruddy Buquet · 80 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.