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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Angers
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Le Havre
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 27%
32%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
32%
53%
Both score Ø 42%
47%
37%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,48 xG 2,07
59% Possession 41%
17 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Angers 13. · Le Havre 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 15 5 0 +35 +33.8 50
2 Marseille 19 11 4 4 +17 +4.9 37
3 Monaco 20 11 4 5 +12 +21.9 37
4 Lille 20 9 8 3 +13 +7.7 35
5 Nice 20 9 7 4 +13 +11.5 34
6 Lens 20 9 6 5 +7 +10.1 33
7 Lyon 19 8 6 5 +7 +5.7 30
8 Brest 20 9 1 10 -5 -12.1 28
9 Strasbourg 19 7 6 6 +2 -8.1 27
10 Toulouse 20 7 5 8 -1 +8.4 26
11 Auxerre 20 6 5 9 -6 -11.6 23
12 Reims 19 5 7 7 -2 -7.4 22
13 Angers 19 6 4 9 -7 -5.0 22
14 Nantes 19 3 9 7 -7 -8.0 18
15 St Etienne 20 5 3 12 -24 -19.4 18
16 Rennes 19 5 2 12 -4 -0.6 17
17 Montpellier 20 4 3 13 -26 -16.2 15
18 Le Havre 19 4 1 14 -24 -15.5 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -24 Le Havre – Angers 0–1

Match report

Angers Le Havre
2′
🟨 Loic Négo
Lilian Raolisoa ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
9′
Lilian Raolisoa 🟥
10′
16′
🟥 Arouna Sangante
17′
ℹ️ Arouna Sangante
VAR:
Himad Abdelli 🟨
25′
25′
🟨 Josué Casimir
28′
🔁 Y. Zouaoui
↦ F. Ballo-Touré
Half-time 0–0
A. Bamba 🔁
↦ J. Allevinah
46′
46′
🔁 I. Soumaré
↦ A. Joujou
Abdoulaye Bamba 🟨
51′
70′
🔁 A. Ayew
↦ M. Diawara
70′
🔁 R. Ndiaye
↦ Koka
73′
A. Ayew 0–1
J. Casimir
I. Niane 🔁
↦ E. Lepaul
74′
Z. Ferhat 🔁
↦ F. El Melali
74′
76′
🟨 Yassine Kechta
J. Kalumba 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
79′
80′
🟨 Gautier Lloris
84′
🔁 Y. Salmier
↦ Y. Kechta
1–1 F. Hanin
I. Niane
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
30 Y. Fofana G
27 L. Raolisoa D
24 E. Biumla D
21 J. Lefort D
26 F. Hanin D
6 J. Aholou M
93 H. Belkebla M
18 J. Allevinah M
10 H. Abdelli M
28 F. El Melali M
19 E. Lepaul F
Bench (9)
25 A. Bamba
7 I. Niane
20 Z. Ferhat
17 J. Kalumba
14 Y. Belkhdim
15 P. Capelle
16 M. Zinga
5 M. Courcoul
8 J. Lopy

Coach: A. Dujeux

Le Havre

4-1-4-1
1 M. Gorgelin G
7 L. Nego D
93 A. Sangante D
4 G. Lloris D
97 F. Ballo-Touré D
6 É. Youté M
10 J. Casimir M
34 M. Diawara M
8 Y. Kechta M
21 A. Joujou M
99 Koka F
Bench (9)
18 Y. Zouaoui
45 I. Soumaré
28 A. Ayew
19 R. Ndiaye
22 Y. Salmier
25 A. Confais
32 T. Pembélé
11 E. Sabbi
30 A. Desmas

Coach: D. Digard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,34
B
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,24
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.