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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

St Truiden

S T S U U

2–0

Full-time

Dender

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Dender

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,70 xG 0,53

52% Possession 48%

14 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 2

5 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Truiden 10. · Dender 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.2	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	1	1	0	+5	+4.3	4
3	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.5	4
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Westerlo	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.6	3
7	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
8	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
9	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
10	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
11	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
12	Waregem	2	0	1	1	-2	+1.2	1
13	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
14	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
15	RAAL La Louviere	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.1	0
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.6	3
2	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
3	Westerlo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
6	Standard	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.6	1
7	Waregem	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
8	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
9	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.7	1
10	Cercle Brugge	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.2	0
11	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
2	Standard	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.9	3
3	Dender	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.6	1
4	Mechelen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
5	St Truiden	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
6	St. Gilloise	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
7	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
8	RAAL La Louviere	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
9	Waregem	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0
10	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.