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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Oostende
T T T U U
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

17 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
11 Corners 2
19 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 17. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 6 6 0 0 +10 18
2 Standard 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
4 Waregem 7 4 0 3 +3 12
5 Beerschot VA 6 4 0 2 +2 12
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 3 2 1 +3 11
7 Anderlecht 6 2 4 0 +4 10
8 Club Brugge 5 3 0 2 +8 9
9 Antwerp 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Cercle Brugge 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Eupen 5 1 3 1 -3 6
13 St Truiden 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Genk 4 1 2 1 -2 5
15 Waasland-Beveren 5 1 0 4 -7 3
16 Beveren 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Oostende 4 0 2 2 -2 2
18 Mouscron 5 0 2 3 -5 2
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 0 2 3 -5 2
20 Gent 4 0 0 4 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Arthur Theate 🟨
2′
11′
🟨 Toon Raemaekers
1–0 F. Sakala
A. Hjulsager
26′
Makhtar Gueye 🟨
32′
T. Matam 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
36′
Fashion Sakala 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Thibault Vlietinck
Half-time 1–0
Jelle Bataille 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 R. Romo
↦ D. Iversen
2–0 F. Sakala
50′
54′
🔁 Y. Croizet
↦ B. Bese
C. McGeehan 🔁
↦ K. Vandendriessche
58′
3–0 M. Gueye
T. Matam
60′
M. Kvasina 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
69′
72′
🔁 M. Tučić
↦ T. Vlietinck
79′
M. Maertens 3–1
X. Mercier
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oostende

5-3-2
28 G. Hubert G
4 J. Hendry D
33 A. Tanghe D
5 A. Theate D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
17 A. Hjulsager M
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
29 R. D'Haese M
10 F. Sakala F
7 M. Gueye F
Bench (7)
20 T. Matam
18 C. McGeehan
21 M. Kvasina
99 B. Castro
8 F. Marquet
27 B. Capon
11 I. Boonen

Coach: A. Blessin

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-2-3-1
21 D. Iversen G
23 S. Kotysch D
18 B. Bese D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
28 T. Raemaekers D
6 D. Hubert M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
90 R. Romo
77 Y. Croizet
30 M. Tučić
99 A. Keita
8 T. Van Hyfte
12 S. Limbombe
22 O. Myny

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,06
U
3,59
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.