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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Beveren
T T S T T
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beveren 14. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Beerschot VA 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Charleroi 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Anderlecht 5 1 4 0 +2 7
5 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +3 6
7 Cercle Brugge 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Genk 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 1 2 1 +0 5
10 Antwerp 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 St Truiden 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Kortrijk 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Club Brugge 3 1 0 2 +2 3
14 Beveren 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Waasland-Beveren 4 1 0 3 -4 3
16 Eupen 4 0 3 1 -4 3
17 Mouscron 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Oostende 4 0 2 2 -2 2
20 Gent 3 0 0 3 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beveren Oud-Heverlee Leuven
24′
🟨 Kristiyan Malinov
30′
X. Mercier 0–1
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 J. Efford
51′
58′
S. Kotysch 1–2
X. Mercier
65′
🔁 A. Keita
↦ K. Malinov
S. Milošević 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
70′
M. Verreth 🔁
↦ Y. Kobayashi
77′
D. Bizimana 🔁
↦ J. Mertens
81′
85′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ Y. Aguemon
89′
T. Henry 1–3
O. Myny
Maximiliano Caufriez 🟥
90′
92′
🔁 Y. Croizet
↦ X. Mercier
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Beveren

5-3-2
21 L. Pirard G
52 J. Schryvers D
26 A. Vukotić D
23 M. Caufriez D
24 A. Khammas D
27 J. Mertens D
10 Y. Kobayashi M
18 D. Heymans M
17 A. Koita F
12 A. Albanese F
11 J. Efford F
Bench (7)
99 S. Milošević
29 M. Verreth
8 D. Bizimana
14 D. Jubitana
77 T. Reyners
15 D. Wuytens
44 B. Gabriël

Coach: N. Hayen

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-4-1-1
21 D. Iversen G
23 S. Kotysch D
18 B. Bese D
15 D. Ouédraogo D
28 T. Raemaekers D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
14 K. Sowah M
7 Y. Aguemon F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
99 A. Keita
22 O. Myny
77 Y. Croizet
8 T. Van Hyfte
38 O. Ravet
32 D. Vekemans
43 J. Perbet

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.