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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Gent
S S T T T
1–2
Full-time
Kortrijk
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

72% Possession 28%
23 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 10
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 15. · Kortrijk 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Genk 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Waasland-Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 St Truiden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Standard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Charleroi 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Antwerp 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Anderlecht 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Eupen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Waregem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Oostende 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Cercle Brugge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Club Brugge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Kortrijk 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Kortrijk
22′
T. Moffi 0–1
C. Lepoint
45′
🟨 Evgeny Makarenko
Half-time 0–1
L. Depoitre 🔁
↦ E. Owusu
46′
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
54′
T. Kleindienst 🔁
↦ A. Niangbo
58′
1–1 I. Plastun
S. Kums
59′
60′
🔁 H. Guèye
↦ T. Moffi
77′
🔁 F. Selemani
↦ C. Lepoint
83′
H. Van der Bruggen 1–2
I. Mboyo
94′
🔁 A. Ajagun
↦ I. Mboyo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-1-2
33 D. Roef G
32 I. Plastun D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
15 M. Mohammadi D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
30 N. Dorsch M
6 E. Owusu M
7 R. Yaremchuk F
11 A. Niangbo F
Bench (7)
29 L. Depoitre
9 R. Bezus
34 T. Kleindienst
17 J. Botaka
1 T. Kaminski
36 D. Arslanagić
22 S. Marreh

Coach: J. Thorup

Kortrijk

4-3-3
1 A. Jakubech G
76 T. Derijck D
6 L. Rougeaux D
4 G. Dewaele D
2 P. Golubović D
15 C. Lepoint M
25 Y. Makarenko M
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
7 I. Mboyo F
51 E. Ocansey F
20 T. Moffi F
Bench (7)
17 H. Guèye
10 F. Selemani
8 A. Ajagun
16 M. Deman
3 B. Hines-Ike
37 B. Verkerken
41 L. Ritière

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,38
U
4,95
B ✓
7,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.