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Premier League
Referee: Robert Jones
Nott'm Forest
S T U T U
0–1
Full-time
Leeds
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,66 xG 0,47
56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -26 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 3–1 9. Nov -25 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 3–1 4. Apr -23 Leeds – Nott'm Forest 2–1 5. Feb -23 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 1–0 8. Feb -20 Nott'm Forest – Leeds 2–0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Leeds
Ola Aina 🟨
18′
32′
🟨 Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Half-time 0–0
Jair 🟨
52′
C. Wood 🔁
↦ D. Ndoye
62′
66′
🔁 N. Okafor
↦ H. Wilson
L. Netz 🔁
↦ O. Aina
74′
X. Schlager 🔁
↦ J. McAtee
74′
82′
🔁 S. Longstaff
↦ B. Aaronson
88′
⚽ A. Stach 0–1
A. Kalimuendo 🔁
↦ Murillo
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

3-4-2-1
26 M. Sels G
23 Cunha D
31 N. Milenkovic D
5 Murillo D
34 O. Aina M
24 J. McAtee M
6 I. Sangare M
3 N. Williams M
14 D. Ndoye F
10 M. Gibbs-White F
11 Igor Jesus F
Bench (9)
12 John Victor
25 L. Netz
2 O. Diomande
44 Z. Abbott
21 X. Schlager
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
8 N. Dominguez
9 C. Wood
15 A. Kalimuendo

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Leeds

3-4-2-1
1 J. Trafford G
6 J. Rodon D
15 J. Bijol D
5 T. Muharemovic D
2 J. Bogle M
18 A. Stach M
4 E. Ampadu M
24 J. Justin M
10 H. Wilson F
11 B. Aaronson F
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
Bench (9)
23 Lucas Perri
30 N. Elvedi
50 A. Cresswell
65 J. Lienou
7 D. James
8 S. Longstaff
22 A. Tanaka
19 N. Okafor
14 L. Nmecha

Coach: Daniel Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,27
🔒
U
3,35
🔒
B ✓
3,10
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,91
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,83
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Robert Jones · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.