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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Maritimo

U T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Portimonense

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Portimonense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,3

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

4,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-3,3

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

19 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 18. · Portimonense 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+8	7
3	Estoril	4	2	1	1	+4	7
4	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Boavista	3	2	0	1	+0	6
8	Arouca	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Casa Pia	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sp Lisbon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Chaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Vizela	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Santa Clara	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Rio Ave	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Famalicao	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	0	3	-7	0
18	Maritimo	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+5	4
3	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Casa Pia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vizela	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Chaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Boavista	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Famalicao	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Sp Lisbon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.