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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Mainz

U S S U S

0–3

Full-time

Leverkusen

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%

17 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Mainz 5. · Leverkusen 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	M'gladbach	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Union Berlin	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Mainz	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Werder Bremen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	RB Leipzig	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
14	Wolfsburg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Ein Frankfurt	3	0	2	1	-5	2
16	Hertha	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Leverkusen	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Werder Bremen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Schalke 04	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	FC Koln	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Wolfsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.