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Primeira Liga

Referee: Ricardo Baixinho

Maritimo

U T U T T

1–2

Full-time

Chaves

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Chaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

6,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

5,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 21

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 15. · Chaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Boavista	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Guimaraes	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Estoril	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Vizela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Casa Pia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Rio Ave	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Vizela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Casa Pia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Casa Pia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-3	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.