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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Almeria

S U U T U

2–1

Full-time

Sevilla

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

11 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

4 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 11

5 Yellow cards 8

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 15. · Sevilla 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Osasuna	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Barcelona	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Girona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Almeria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Elche	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Girona	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	1
9	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
10	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Ath Madrid	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Mallorca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Celta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Almeria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.