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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
St Truiden
U U U T S
3–1
Full-time
Mechelen
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,6
3,4
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Mechelen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 6 6 0 0 +16 18
2 Anderlecht 5 4 0 1 +8 12
3 Antwerp 4 4 0 0 +6 12
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 4 0 2 +2 12
5 Charleroi 7 4 0 3 +1 12
6 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +5 10
7 Waregem 7 2 2 3 -2 8
8 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 St. Gilloise 4 2 1 1 -1 7
10 Kortrijk 6 2 1 3 -2 7
11 St Truiden 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Oostende 6 2 0 4 -3 6
13 Cercle Brugge 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Eupen 6 1 0 5 -8 3
15 Seraing 6 1 0 5 -8 3
16 Seraing United 6 1 0 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Mechelen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Wouters
↦ J. Van Hecke
51′
🟨 Samuel Oum Gouet
Ameen Al-Dakhil 🟨
52′
53′
G. Hairemans 0–1
1–1 S. Kagawa
57′
A. Koita 🔁
↦ S. Van Dessel
64′
64′
🔁 J. Ngoy
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
G. Bruno 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
73′
75′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
2–1 G. Bruno
76′
F. Boya 🔁
↦ C. Brüls
81′
81′
🔁 J. Hernández
↦ S. Oum Gouet
82′
🟨 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck
86′
🔁 T. Raemaekers
↦ G. Hairemans
3–1 G. Bruno
95′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
22 W. Janssens D
37 T. Leistner D
3 A. Al-Dakhil D
4 D. Hashioka M
10 S. Kagawa M
6 M. Konaté M
44 C. Brüls M
19 S. Van Dessel M
8 D. Hayashi F
30 S. Okazaki F
Bench (7)
7 A. Koita
91 G. Bruno
27 F. Boya
12 J. Coppens
32 A. Librici
77 E. Bocat
16 M. Smets

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Mechelen

5-3-2
15 Y. Thoelen G
5 S. Walsh D
6 J. Van Hecke D
23 T. Peyre D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
7 G. Hairemans M
16 R. Schoofs M
17 S. Oum Gouet M
22 Alessio Da Cruz F
10 Y. Malede F
Bench (7)
4 D. Wouters
9 J. Ngoy
8 J. Hernández
28 T. Raemaekers
2 I. Swers
36 D. Asare
32 R. Falchou

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,44
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.